Severe Weather Outlook

Showers, thunderstorms, severe storms, and heavy rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday in Arkansas

At least a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected across Arkansas over the next few days. This could provide severe weather and flash flooding to parts of the state. 

National Weather Service in Little Rock Morning Crew

TUESDAY

Storm timing: Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night
Areas impacted: Northern half of Arkansas
Main hazards: Damaging winds up to 60 mph, large hail up to 1.00” (≥10% of significant hail of ≥2” within the hatched area), and a tornado or two is possible over mainly northern half of Arkansas

WEDNESDAY

Storm timing: Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night
Areas impacted: Much of Arkansas, especially the western half of the state
Main hazards: Damaging winds up to 60 mph and a few tornadoes are possible
Secondary hazards: Large hail up to 1.00”

An updated briefing with the latest information is attached below. 

Severe Weather Continues Thursday for Arkansas

  • WHAT - Widespread Severe Weather and Excessive Rainfall. ○ Severe weather remains possible Thursday through Saturday across the majority of Arkansas. All modes of severe weather remain possible including a few tornadoes. ○ Extreme rainfall, with an additional 8 to 10 inches possible across parts of the state. This amount of rain is in addition to what has already fallen. Dangerous and potentially life threatening flash flooding and river flooding are expected.

  • WHEN - Today through Saturday night. ○ Severe weather threat time frames: ■ (1) Thursday afternoon through Thursday night (all but far northwest and far southeast Arkansas) ■ (3) Friday afternoon through Friday night (all but far northwest and far southeast Arkansas) ■ (4) Saturday afternoon through Saturday night (southeast half of Arkansas) ○ Heavy rainfall and flash/river flooding threat Thursday through Saturday.

  • WHERE - Most of the state will be at risk for severe weather and heavy rainfall through Saturday.

Attached is the latest weather briefing concerning this multi day severe weather and flooding event. In a nutshell, a large part of central Arkansas will be under an enhanced risk of severe weather Thursday and Friday with the threat area shifting south for Saturday.  All modes of severe weather will be possible.

Waves of heavy rain will impact the state through Saturday as several waves of low pressure interact with a stalled front. Parts of the state could see up to 10 inches of rain in addition to what fell on Wednesday.

Widespread and significant flash and river flooding are expected.

…….National Weather Service in Little Rock

Severe Weather Threat for Arkansas

  • WHAT - Severe weather and heavy rainfall. ○ Very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and tornadoes will be possible on Wednesday with additional chances of severe weather Thursday through Saturday. . ○ Extremely heavy rainfall, more than 10 inches possible. Dangerous and potentially life threatening flash flooding and river flooding are expected.

  • WHEN - Today through Saturday night. ○ Severe weather threat timeframes: (1) Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night (entire state) (2) Thursday afternoon through Thursday night (all but far northwest Arkansas) (3) Friday afternoon through Friday night (all but far northwest and far southeast Arkansas) (4) Saturday afternoon through Saturday night (southeast half of Arkansas) ○ Heavy rainfall and resulting flash/river flooding threat Wednesday through Saturday.

  • WHERE - Most of the state will be at risk for severe weather and heavy rainfall.

Severe Weather Briefing from the National Weather Service in Little Rock

  • The chances of strong to severe thunderstorms continue to increase this weekend, with a greater chance for severe weather possible on Sunday.

  • Multiple medium to long range models are beginning to show agreement in the possibility of severe weather.

  • Confidence has increased that Sunday is poised to be the day in which severe weather across Arkansas would possibly be the highest

  • Click below for the latest weather outlook